Không khí lạnh tạo nhiễu động giúp bão số 10 hình thành sau đó cũng “đập tan” nó ngay trên biển – Ảnh: WINDY
Hiện tại bão số 10 đang hoạt động trên vùng biển phía tây nam khu vực giữa Biển Đông. Sức gió mạnh nhất vùng gần tâm bão mạnh cấp 8 (62-74km/h), giật cấp 10. Bão di chuyển theo hướng tây tây nam hướng về nước ta, tốc độ 5-10km/h.
Theo quy luật, bão và không khí lạnh luôn khắc chế nhau. Cụ thể bão hình thành từ các nhiễu động trên rãnh áp thấp, sau đó hình thái này mạnh lên nhờ hút năng lượng từ ẩm, nóng của biển. Vùng biển càng ẩm, nóng thì bão càng mạnh.
Khi có không khí lạnh thì độ ẩm của biển thấp, nhiệt độ giảm, bão sẽ không thể hình thành hoặc suy yếu nhanh chóng.
Tuy nhiên, bão số 10 lại hình thành ngay trong đợt không khí lạnh khá mạnh. Đợt này còn khuếch tán tới tận Nam Bộ.
Ông Lê Đình Quyết – trưởng phòng dự báo Đài khí tượng thủy văn khu vực Nam Bộ – cho biết cơn bão số 10 này hình thành từ vùng nhiễu động trên Biển Đông.
“Thời gian vừa qua ở vùng biển phía nam có rãnh áp thấp trục 4-6 độ vĩ bắc. Đây là yếu tố cần để bão hình thành.
Cùng với đó không khí lạnh khuếch tán sâu xuống phía nam đã tạo nên những nhiễu động đủ lớn để phát triển thành áp thấp nhiệt đới và sau đó thành bão”, ông Quyết phân tích.
Tuy nhiên, bão sẽ chỉ tồn tại được một thời gian ngắn trên biển rồi sẽ bị không khí lạnh làm suy yếu nhanh chóng.
Bão số 10 đúng quy luật, không bất thường
Ông Quyết cho biết vẫn có những năm bão, áp thấp nhiệt đới xuất hiện vào những tháng cuối năm như bão Durian (số 9) đầu tháng 12-2006; bão Tembin hình thành, phát triển vào ngày 24 đến 25-12-2017; bão Usagi cuối tháng 11-2018.
Như vậy cơn bão số 10 xuất hiện vào cuối tháng 12 năm nay hợp với quy luật, hoạt động của hoàn lưu khí quyển, không có gì bất thường.
Dự báo bão số 10 (bão Pabuk) suy yếu thành vùng ấp thấp trên vùng biển Ninh Thuận – Bà Rịa Vũng Tàu nên ít có khả năng ảnh hưởng trực tiếp đến đất liền nước ta.
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